MODELLING STOCK RETURNS ON ZAGREB STOCK EXCHANGE BY USING MARKOV CHAINS

This paper illustrates the application of the Markov chains methodology in predicting stock returns on Zagreb Stock Exchange. Comparing with other mathematical and econometric tools, the Markov chains methodology is a simple and nonparametric methodology which has still not been researched enough in problems of stock returns modeling. The main aim of this paper is introducing this methodology into domestic literature and giving new ideas for the future researches.