CAN CROATIAN FUND MANAGERS CREATE ALPHA RETURNS?PERFORMANCE OF SOME MUTUAL FUNDS IN CROATIA

Prethodno priopćenje

The research object of this paper is to scrutinize the risk-adjusted re-turns of the fi ve largest Croatian open-end equity mutual funds (ZB Aktiv, PBZ Equity, Raiffeisen Central Europe, Erste Adriatic Equity, and ZB Trend), and to compare each of them individually with a selection of the risk-adjusted re-turns of 10 relevant stock market indices (Crobex, S&P500, Rts50, Belex15, Atx20, Cetop20, Nikkei225, Bux13, Ftse100, and SSE Composite). Jensen alphas were calculated in order to obtain insight into the performance of the funds, with the intention of evaluating the successfullness of the actively managed equity mutual funds in Croatia.Three time periods were observed, and each of the funds is examined in its own time frame. The fi rst period dates from the funds’ establishment until July 2010; the second is from the funds’ establishment until January 2008. Specifi c interest was taken into the period of global fi nancial crisis (in Croatia from the beginning of 2008 onwards), and into the performance of the funds during this downturn. Therefore, the third period spans from February 2008 until July 2010. Altogether, 150 individual OLS specifi ca-tions were taken into account.Null hypothesis was confi rmed, since Jensen alphas indicate under-performance of the funds when compared to market returns. Even though positive (albeit relatively small) alphas were shown in the period of extreme (exponential) growth of the Croatian mutual fund industry (2000 – 2008), these returns have proven themselves to be unsustainable in the long term.

Active management; mutual fund performance; Jensen alpha; Treynor; Sharpe; Croatia